Saturday, January 14, 2017
What Road Are We On?
We are six days away from the inauguration of Donald J. Trump
as the 45th President of the United States. Trump has redefined communication between a senior political leader and
the people by significantly reducing the impact of the mainstream media through his use of social media. Trump's nominees
for his Cabinet have begun their confirmation process. Leading Democrats continue to attack Trump and Trump attacks
back. The Congress is preparing to take action on Trump's policy agenda. The outcome of any action remains
to be seen. The US is about to undergo a major change in government leadership that will have a significant impact on
our country. Does it really matter from an intermediate and long term perspective?
During recent days I have been reading James Rickards' new book, The
Road To Ruin - The Global Elites' Secret Plan For The Next Financial Crisis. I have been watching the news
on TV, reading news on-line and reading a lot of liberal progressive propaganda in my daily newspaper, The Washington
Post. I ask myself a simple question "What is really happening here?"
The Road to Ruin is Rickards' fourth book. I have commented on the first three on this site.
This book is different. It is darker, much darker. There is much discussion about what the financial leaders of
the world are doing. We should all know that the world is drowning in unsupportable debt now with massive increases
of debt expected in the years ahead. There are trillions of dollars of derivatives that create massive potential
for instability if a major problem occurs. The global financial system is a massively complex system that our leading
economists don't fully understand and are unable to control. Rickards discusses the history of economic/financial crises
that provides context as to "How we got here?" He provides an updated analysis of the situation
and predicts we will experience a more powerful economic/financial crisis in 2018.
Rickards writes "The elite worldview rests on the intellectual pillars of equilibrium models, monetarism,
Keynesiansism, floating exchange rates, free trade, globalization and fiat money. Meanwhile, the real world is best
understood through the lens of complexity theory, conditional probability, behavioral psychology, currency wars, neomercantilism,
and gold. Cognitive dissonance between the elite worldview and real-world economics is taking its toll on elite self-confidence
and control. The elites now divide into two types: those that are confused by lost credibility, and those that are quietly
panicked because they understand their intellectual failure and its consequences."
Rickards also writes "Debt, deflation, demographics, and depression
are demolishing elite dreams of free trade, free markets, and free capital flows. Elites hope for the turn of a
friendly card but the deck is stacked by decades of denial about income inequality and lost jobs." I would have thought that Rickards would end the book with a statement
like this, but there is more, a much darker more.
makes the case that the US has been evolving into a fascist state for a century. Rickards states "Fascism is not
in our future, it is here now." and "What matters to fascists is continuous action and state control of
civic life." Rickards states that fascists can come from the left or the right. "What unites them
is a shared view that the state is the exclusive mediator of human activity, and ends justify means." Rickards
also explains why Woodrow Wilson was the first fascist US President and why Herbert Hoover, FDR, Lyndon Johnson,
Richard Nixon, George W. Bush and Barack Obama should be described as fascists.
Rickards gives a number of examples to support his point that the US has become more fascist. Militarized
police have attacked and abused innocent people. Police have confiscated the assets of innocent people and not
returned those assets. Rickards final example is dramatic. New York City's stop and frisk program which began
as a positive contribution to improving public safety and reducing crime has evolved into a revenue generating program to
support the cost of the police force. In the poor neighborhoods of New York City, people are given a summons for no
justified reason for the purpose of collecting fines, effectively a tax on the poor. Contrast this with the fact that
no financial industry executive was charged with a crime after the 2007/2008 financial crisis in the same city.
So what does it all mean? Rickards believes
we are on The Road to Ruin. Trump has been fighting the establishment from the day he first announced his candidacy.
It appears he wants to reverse many of the actions of the globalist elites within the US. Can he actually make
real progress? Or is the battle we see on TV and read about just a side show while the real action takes place out of
sight? Is there a way to avoid what appears to be an unavoidable economic/financial crisis in the years ahead?
I don't know. All we can do is attempt to protect ourselves and try to help Trump - Make American Great Again.
Thursday, December 29, 2016
Israel - Palestinian Solution?
In the past few days the ongoing conflict between Israel and the
Palestinians has hit the head lines of the world news. A vote in the United Nations regarding Israeli settlements
in the West Bank passed, the US government abstained allowing it to pass, which infuriated the Israelis. President
Obama is accused of being pro-Palestinian and anti-Israel. The Obama Administration is accused of working to get the
documents prepared and voted upon before the end of President Obama's term. Today, Secretary of State John
Kerry delivered a speech justifying the vote. Kerry's speech was panned by the Israelis and American supporters of Israel.
In the meantime Donald Trump sent a clear message to the Israelis that they shouldn't worry too much because when he takes
office on January 20, 2017, his administration will fully support Israel. Talking heads and "experts" are
all over the news media supporting and criticizing all sides of the settlement issue and the overall conflict between
Israel and the Palestinians.
perspective the entire discussion and debate is pure nonsense. I have had the good fortune and privilege to spend
a total of five days of my life on two visits to Israel. I had the opportunity to see with my own eyes a decent percentage
of the country and including a visit to the West Bank. I have also had the opportunity to read what I believe to be
honest histories of the region. I believe I have a fairly reasoned understanding of the situation and the ability to
judge it rationally, which most of the people I see on the various news programs don't seem to be able to do.
The first question one must ask is: Who is entitled to what land and resources
of Israel? This is an extremely hard question to answer and is likely never to be fully answered without armed
conflict where one side destroys the other. That is the history of the region and there is no reason to suspect the
future will be any different than the past. There is no "logical" answer to my question. One could make
the case that the Canaanites and other tribes that lived in the Levant that were conquered by the Jews upon their
exodus from Egypt might be the most entitled to inherit the land of Israel since the Jews took their land from them by force.
However, I don't believe there are many people around today that claim to be descended from the Canaanites.
Since the Jewish population of the region was reduced significantly during the diaspora which began about 70 CE and
was fully complete about 135 CE, one can make the case that the Jews effectively abandoned the Levant and others
came in and took their place. The decision to support the creation of the nation of Israel in 1948, after
the Arab-Israeli War of Independence and in the aftermath of the Holocaust in Europe, was a no win situation for decision
makers in the US and Europe. There was no great or easy solution. There was only a somewhat workable
solution that has sparked conflict in the region for the past 70 years.
Beginning in the early 1900s and continuing through today, both sides of the conflict have committed war
crimes on the other side from time to time. Both sides have inflicted incredible horrors on the other. Both sides
have been intolerant of the others perspective. Both sides have failed to tell the entire truth about the their
actions to the rest of the world.
one drives around Israel and observes the borders of the West Bank and Israel the impression is not one of permanence
and stability, it is exactly the opposite. It looks and feels unstable. Even though there is no major military
actions happening it has the feel as if war could break out at any moment. The status quo doesn't really work in its
totality despite the incredible success the Israelis have had in developing the land and their nation and its economy.
The ultimate goals of the Israel's leaders and the Palestinian
leaders are not compatible at a fundamental level. Israel has made a number of attempts to make a deal with the
Palestinians but the events of the War of Independence and the numerous conflicts large and small since then are a huge burden
for the Palestinians to overcome. The Palestinians refusal to recognize that the Jewish people have a right to exist
as a sovereign nation in the Levant, with Jerusalem as part of that nation, is a fundamental barrier to any permanent
The US has the largest
number of Jews within its population than any other nation in the world other than Israel. Jews have made incredible
contributions to the development of the US as a nation. The US has more in common with Israel than any
other nation in the Middle East including shared culture and a fundamental system of values. The US was responsible
more than any other naton in supporting the developement of Israel as an independent nation.
So what do we, the US, do? There is nothing we can do.
We can't change the current circumstances. We can't change the history. We can't change the fundamental beliefs
of either side. All we can really hope to accomplish is to maintain the current unstable system. This is really
hard to do.
Donald Trump was asked about
the possibility of peace in the Middle East during an interview a number of months ago. He said it is probably
too hard to accomplish based on his conversations with people that understand the situation extremely well.
He said he would give it a shot but the world can't expect to be successful. I believe Trump was correct then and
he shouldn't make the situation worse in an attempt to smooth over the recent problems created by the Obama
At some point the time
will come for the final battle between the Israelis and Palestinians to determine which is the ultimate victor and has
earned the right to fully control the disputed land and Jerusalem. This is truly unfortunate but
it is the way the world has worked for its entire recorded history. There is no reason to expect any fundamental changes
Wednesday, December 21, 2016
What Is True?
What is true? That is the fundamental issue that many Americans
face when they try to evaluate what is happening in the US and around the world. Is the information I am watching or reading
completely true, partially true or completely fabricated for the benefit of someone or a group. We know that the mainstream
media reports information that ranges from sometimes factual to completely false. Most of us have caught the mainstream media
fabricating news because we saw the actual event happen; or we happen to know the exact circumstances that are being reported;
or we have tracked stories over time and have seen that the original reporting was completely wrong. It is very easy to see
political bias in reports from people that we used to think were simply reporters.
Many of us are looking for information by researching alternative media. Typically, these are online
sources run by people that aren't well known by the bulk of the population. We know that many of these people are only in
business for the purpose of supporting some type of agenda that may or may not true, or have some truth within the totality
of the information being presented.
bottom line is that there is almost no such thing today as pure news or pure information. Everyone presenting anything has
an agenda or a political bias. In order to evaluate any topic requires time and effort to research the issue or the person
needs a lot of direct knowledge of the topic. It is very hard to trust any organization or any person that presents themselves
as the purveyor of truth.
All we can
do is our best. What do we think is right or best or most optimal based on the options presented to us? All of us are different
people. We have different lives in different places with different values. We have different goals and plans for the future.
We are attempting to optimize different things.
What we can all do is listen to what people are saying and attempt to reconcile their views with our own and decide if we
need to make any adjustments in how we look at life or if we should change direction or our views in some way. I know that
during my life I have changed my views on a number of issues that are important to me from time to time. Only those people
that are willing to continue learning throughout their lives can continue to progress, otherwise they are lost somewhere in
the past, overcome by events and new information.
Sunday, December 18, 2016
Is the Birther Movement Finally Over?
On December 15 Sheriff Joe Arpaio of Maricopa County, Arizona,
held a press conference to announce to the world that President Barack Obama's birth certificate that was installed
on the White House web site in 2011 is fake. If you missed it you can watch the press conference on You Tube.
In about a month, President Obama's second term will end. Tomorrow the electors of the electoral college will vote and
confirm that Donald J. Trump will be our next President. Trump and his Executive Branch team in conjunction with the
new Congress will pick up the government ball in January and lead the country forward.
So why does Barack Obama's birth certificate still matter? I watched
the You Tube video of Arpaio's press conference and didn't learn much that was new. It is been understood for a
number of years that the birth certificate on the White House web site is a fake. Analysis has shown it to
be an electronically constructed document produced in recent years, not in 1961. However, no person has
proved that Barack Obama wasn't born in Hawaii and wasn't eligible to become President.
Many people have stated that the whole birther movement was about racism.
I am sure there was and is an element of racism but I believe that most of the discomfort with the Obama presidency
was his life long commitment to socialism and his radical leftist views. People were desperate to prove that Obama
should have never been allowed to become President due to his political ideology.
After finding some new information and doing some research myself I think people should step back and take
a look at the Obama birth certificate issue differently. In 2012 Mr. Joel Gilbert produced a movie about the
life of Barack Obama and his family, Dreams from My Real Father. Mr. Gilbert has done an extensive amount of research
into the life of Barack Obama, his mother and her parents (his grandparents). Needless to say there are major differences
between the standard narrative of Obama's life, such as the one presented in Wikipedia, and the one presented in Gilbert's
movie. Recently, Gilbert appeared on infowars.com and presented an update to his earlier work.
When Barack Obama refused to release any of his college records during
his first presidential campaign and researchers couldn't verify a lot of his background he created a lot of questions
about what he was hiding. If Gilbert's movie and the results of his recent work are close to being accurate,
I think we know why Obama didn't want to tell the world the whole truth about his life. It is a very tough
story to tell. As I thought about writing this blog I considered providing the links to the information I reviewed.
I decided not to do it. If people want to read the same information I did it is easy to find.
I don't think there
is any question that Barack Obama was an eligible American citizen when he was a candidate for President. He was
born in Hawaii to an American mother. He won the two Presidential elections fair and square. Obama and his leftist supporters,
including David Axelrod, David Plouffe, Bill Ayers and Bernardine Dohrn, outsmarted their competitors. The far
left found a candidate they could manufacture into a viable mainstream candidate. The American people didn't listen carefully
enough to those that saw through the smoke screen that the Obama team created. The mainstream media helped create
and fuel the smoke screen by failing to vet Obama as a candidate. The Left's plan worked.
The Obama team won. But they only won for awhile. The American people quickly gave control of the Congress
to Obama's opponents to limit his power. The people didn't elect his philosophical successor, Hillary Clinton, last
month. The Obama era is over or will be in about a month.
In some ways I feel sorry for Barack Obama. In many respects his childhood was terrible. It appears
it was even worse then we were originally been led to believe. He had to overcome incredible personal issues to
create a life for himself. He has had to hide a lot of his past from public scrutiny to protect himself when he became
a national political figure. Once he leaves office perhaps some of the very long term pressures on him will be
relieved. Maybe he will finally tell the world the whole truth to remove the cloud that continues to exist. Hopefully
the birther movement will finally come to an end.
Thursday, December 15, 2016
Rock Star - Reg Sprigg
The second book I purchased at the Red Kangaroo Books store in
Alice Springs, Northern Territory, Australia was Rock Star - The story of Reg Sprigg - an outback legend by Kristin
Weidenbach. I had no knowledge of Reg Sprigg before I read Ms. Weidenbach's book. He was an amazing man who lived
from 1919 to 1994. He was a geologist, petroleum prospector, mapper of ocean floors, corporate executive and
deal-maker and conservationist. He is recognized as one of Australia's greatest geologists.
Since the development of Australia's mineral wealth is essential to the
growth of its economy, geologists have been critical to the expansion of Australia's national wealth. Reg
Sprigg played a major role in the exploration and development of Australia's oil and gas resources in addition to his ground
breaking scientific works. As he evolved as a person through his life he became a renowned conservationist, establishing
a massive nature reserve in the South Australia Outback now known as the Arkaroola Wildlife Sanctuary, one of Australia's
first eco-tourism resorts. Ms. Weidenbach does
a great job of describing the difficulty of exploring and developing any natural resources in the Outback in the 1940s through
the 1970s due to lack of water and support infrastructure, intense summer heat and long distance from population
Reg Sprigg was a man that was
away from his wife and family for extended periods of time throughout his professional life. His work life destroyed
his first marriage after a few years. He was extremely fortunate to find a second wife that was able to adapt her life
to his, raise their children under very difficult circumstances and support his endeavors to the end. Reg
Sprigg was an extremely lucky man to find a wife like Griselda. How many of us have put our spouses in a similar position?
Hopefully, Reg Sprigg was a really extreme case!
Ms. Weidenbach is the mother of Reg Sprigg's granddaughter. She doesn't discuss her relationship with Reg Sprigg's
only son, Douglas, in the book. I did a little research and found that she is Douglas's partner. What is clear
is that Ms. Weidenbach had full access to the Sprigg family and its records to tell the story. It is a very
interesting story that has something for everyone interested in aspects of Australia's modern history.
There aren't many people on the planet like Reg Sprigg. He was truly a Rock